The 2021 Cookie Guessing Contest

ByKristen
173 Comments

Normally, we do try to get this done a little earlier in December.

Frosted Christmas cookies.

But since Lisey has moved out now, we had to wait until she came back for a visit. If we did only four cookies, this would be way too easy for you guys and where's the fun in that?

(4 x 3 x 2 x 1= only 24 possibilities!)

Lisey, wearing a Christmas sweatshirt.

Anyway! If you're new here, you should know that we have a tradition of decorating Christmas cookies in rather non-traditional ways.

 

Three frosted Christmas cookies.

Someone even made a Grover cookie this year!

frosted Grover cookie

And we also have a tradition of holding a cookie-guessing contest here on the blog each year. The winner gets a $100 Amazon gift card, emailed from me!

Four small Christmas tree cookies.

Here's the way this works. I'll give you a photo of numbered cookies, plus a list of the five cookie artists, and you can leave your guess in a comment.

Six cookies on a cookie sheet.

First, we have a ninja:

a ninja cookie.

Then Beaker, from the Muppets:

a cookie decorated like a muppet.

Then a pink Christmas tree, which got a little broken before I took a photo:

pink Christmas tree cookie.

Next up, Wario, from Mario Kart: (made from a gingerbread cookie cutter shape)

Wario cookie.

A sad little Christmas tree:

A Christmas tree cookie with a sad face.

And lastly, a penguin:

A penguin cookie.

A twist to make this tougher!

Someone got the answer shockingly early last year, so to make it slightly harder this year, we have a twist.

We have five cookie artists, listed here in age order:

  • Mr. FG
  • Kristen
  • Lisey
  • Sonia
  • Zoe

But one of us has entered two cookies into this year's photo. If I'm doing my probability math right, that means the odds are 5 x 5 x 4 x 3 x 2 x 1= 600 possibilities.

(I could be wrong on this, though, so if you are better at probability math than me, pipe up and tell me where I've gotten off-track.)

If this turns out to be impossibly hard and no one figures it out, then I will give the gift card to whoever got the closest first. 😉

So, leave your comment guesses like so, using one person's name twice:

1-Kristen
2-Mr. FG
3-Zoe
4-Sonia
5-Lisey
6-Sonia

Without further ado, here are the numbered cookies, arranged in no particular order, except how I thought they looked nice:

six cookies on a baking sheet.

 

And now it's time to get guessing.

Alrighty! Off you go!

NO PURCHASE NECESSARY. VOID WHERE PROHIBITED. One entry per person. Amazon gift card is purchased by me. This giveaway is not sponsored by Amazon in any way. Odds of winning depend upon the number of entrants. Winner will be contacted via the email address left in the comment form. Amazon gift card will be delivered via email.

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173 Comments

  7. This is a lot like picking lottery tickets. But my theory is that since that sometimes works for the lottery, it could work for this. So here goes:
    1 - Kristen
    2 - Lisey
    3 - Sonia
    4 - Mr. FG
    5 - Kristen
    6 - Zoe

    I'm only marginally better at guessing who got whom in Secret Santas at my house!

    Reply

  13. I know this it totally unrelated to this post, but Lisey..........your hair is so pretty. That cut is so flattering on you. I was wondering if there is a "name" for the haircut Lisey got. Thanks.
    Merry Christmas Kristen and family.

    Reply

  19. On the morning I am itchy with hives and needing distraction, this is perfect. I've been looking forward to it!
    1-Zoe
    2-Lisey
    3-Mr. FG
    4-Sonia
    5-Sonia
    6-Kristen

    Reply

  27. Those really are some impressive cookies.

    I don't think I've ever actually guessed before, so here are my completely spontaneous guesses.

    1--Lisey

    2--Kristen

    3--Sonia

    4--Zoe

    5--Lisey

    6--Mr. FG

    Reply

  45. I love this yearly post, mostly due to the eyes! (I only guess to be sociable.) I think it would be fun to see your process, ever thought of making a video of your decorating?
    1. Zoe
    2. Lisey
    3. Mr. FG
    4. Lisey
    5. Kristen
    6. Sonia

    Reply

  53. 1. Mr FG
    2. Zoe
    3. Kristen
    4. Sonia
    5. Kristen
    6. Lisey

    Sorry, my second comment, first one posted without correct email. Great cookies! Happy holidays!

    Reply

  69. I used this idea this year. My boys are 14 and 16 now and aren't so excited about frosting sugar cookies anymore so I proposed that we all decorate one cookie however we wanted and I would post it on Facebook and have our friends/family vote for their favorite. The only rule was that we had to use a Christmas shaped cookie cutter. It was a blast - they were so competitive and had so much fun teasing each other while we were doing it. We ended up with a running dog, zombie, gnome, and earth. My Facebook family all pitched in with their votes (based on a picture of just the cookies) and then the next day I shared pictures of each of us holding our cookies so they could see who made each one. It was a lot of fun all around. Thanks! (the earth won - made by my husband)

    Reply

  70. Not going to hazard a guess but wanted to let you know that cookie decorating has taken a new and exciting turn in our house since you introduced me to candy eyes for cookies! I enjoy seeing your creations every year.

    Reply

  103. I am always sooooo off in my guessing so I'm gonna go random this year.

    1. Kristen
    2. Sonia
    3. Mr. F.G.
    4. Lisey
    5. Zoe
    6. Lisey

    Reply

  106. Here goes ... this is always so fun every year! Merry Christmas!! 🙂

    1. Sonia
    2. Mr. FG
    3. Zoe
    4. Lisey
    5. Lisey
    6. Kristen

    Reply

  127. 1-Mr. FG
    2-Lisey
    3-Zoe
    4-Sonia
    5-Zoe
    6-Kristen

    I’m feeling pretty good about my guesses this year! Of course, I say that every year before I learn how wrong I was. Merry Christmas!

    Reply

  141. Well, I’m lucky to get two them usually. But it is a lot of fun!
    1. Sonia
    2. Zoe
    3. Zoe
    4. Lisey
    5. Kristen
    6. Mr. FG

    Reply

  145. I am already sympathizing with you having to read all these comments. 🙂

    1. Zoe
    2. Kristen
    3. Mr. FG
    4. Lisey
    5. Mr. FG
    6. Sonia

    Reply

  153. After 155 entries I doubt there is a chance @ all but since I was swamped at work all day, I'll give it a late go:

    1. Lisey
    2. Sonia
    3. Kristen
    4. Zoe
    5. Mr. FG
    6. Sonia

    Reply

  158. Here goes... lol. Happy Holidays!!!!

    1. Zoe
    2. Kristen
    3. Lisey
    4. Mr FG
    5. Lisey
    6. Sonia

    I’m looking forward to learning about the artists and their designs.

    Fun!!

    Reply

  168. 1. Kristen
    2. Lisey
    3. Sonya
    4. Zoe
    5. Mr FG
    6. Sonya

    I'm probably way off, but my guess would be that the sisters have had great fun sitting together and decorating the cookies, so they would have the most elaborately decorated ones. Now going to read what everyone else thinks!

    Reply